Two years after Congress made the federal government鈥檚 largest one-time investment in the nation鈥檚 public schools, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act鈥攖he economic-stimulus package鈥攈as prevented massive teacher layoffs, spurred states to devise sweeping education overhaul plans, and invigorated the national conversation about turning around the worst-performing schools.
Yet a critical question remains: Will the ARRA鈥檚 nearly $100 billion in education aid result in higher academic achievement, particularly for those students most at risk of academic failure? Or, in the words of U.S. Secretary of Education Arne Duncan, will the country鈥檚 education 鈥渕oonshot鈥� hit its target?
鈥淲e have a long way to go. We have not done it,鈥� Mr. Duncan said in a December interview, adding that his goal is for the United States to lead the world in academic achievement. 鈥淲e鈥檙e not even close,鈥� he said.
Education was one of the biggest beneficiaries of the package signed into law by President Barack Obama on Feb. 17, 2009. The measure ultimately provided a total of $814 billion for a variety of purposes aimed at helping correct the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression.
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Education Stimulus: Gauging the Impact of a Federal Windfall
The emergency aid saved or created school-related jobs during the 2009-10 school year, according to the U.S. Department of Education鈥檚 accounting of data self-reported by states and school districts. Since states and districts have already spent three-quarters of the education stimulus money, however, and the economic recovery is slow-going, many of those jobs now hang in the balance.
But saving education jobs, even if only temporarily, was just one goal of the funding program. Congress and the Obama administration also demanded that state and school officials undertake significant education changes in return for the money.
As a result, states such as Delaware and Tennessee have revamped their laws to promote the growth of charter schools. Massachusetts and Maryland, among others, have launched efforts to tie teachers鈥� evaluations to student performance. A persistently failing high school in Oregon is spending a record amount on additional training for teachers, a move that reflects similar commitments elsewhere.
Yet a far-ranging review of the stimulus program by reporters from 36 news outlets in 27 states, working in a collaboration overseen by the Hechinger Institute on Education and the Media and the Education Writers Association, shows that its lasting impact on public education is far from certain. Indeed, this review shows, many of the resulting policy changes are already endangered by political battles and the big budget shortfalls still facing recession-battered state and local governments.
At the same time, several prominent stimulus-financed policy prescriptions face sharp scrutiny. Many educators believe the Obama administration鈥檚 embrace of ideas such as charter school expansion and teacher pay systems tied in part to student test scores is misguided, and they question the use of federal cash incentives for their adoption.
Randi Weingarten, the president of the American Federation of Teachers, said: 鈥淚f states want to figure out ways to ensure good teaching, let鈥檚 do that by developing a fair and comprehensive teacher-evaluation system.鈥�
And still others who generally supported the stimulus found problems with how the programs were implemented, particularly with how the Obama administration stressed the effort鈥檚 twin goals of saving jobs and sparking reform. 鈥淭he mixed messages around the stimulus, which in some cases translated into conflicting and confusing guidance, caused problems,鈥� said Andrew J. Rotherham, a partner at Bellwether Education Partners, a nonprofit education consulting firm. 鈥淏igger picture: Was it supposed to be reform or be stimulus or both?鈥�
Flood of Funding
The nearly $100 billion in education aid has flooded the education zone through different channels. Some of it has gone through existing Title I and special education formulas. A sizable chunk was distributed on a school-age-population basis to states to help stabilize their budgets.
And a small but significant portion of it was awarded through grant competitions, such as the $650 million , or i3, program. Last summer, 49 school districts and nonprofit organizations were selected to share that money, which is meant to scale up innovative, promising practices.
Another program, the Obama administration鈥檚 hallmark , became the largest grant competition ever undertaken by the federal Education Department. It poured $4 billion into grants for the winners: 11 states and the District of Columbia.
The Race to the Top may turn out to underscore just how tough it is to overhaul long-established aspects of education, even with hefty federal rewards.
A case in point is Massachusetts, a national leader in student achievement, which won $250 million in the competition.
Although an important element of the Massachusetts application was buy-in from local teachers鈥� unions, their support for the proposed changes remains tenuous. At issue is how to incorporate results of standardized student tests into teacher evaluations, a practice the state promised to move toward in exchange for the federal money.
The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, the federal government鈥檚 $814 billion economic-stimulus package, provided more than $100 billion in funding for precollegiate and higher education programs. In addition to preventing the loss of education jobs because of budget cuts, the ARRA legislation, signed into law in February 2009, aimed to promote innovative education policies.
The largest share of the education funding in the ARRA was directed to K-12 programs through the U.S. Department of Education. The department received slightly more than $79 billion that could be used for that purpose. More than half of that money was allocated to the State Fiscal Stabilization Fund to help states restore funding for education programs cut from their budgets as a result of the economic downturn. Most of the money in that stabilization fund was distributed to states based on population; $5 billion in discretionary incentive and innovation grants was awarded through competitive processes.
SOURCES: American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009; EPE Research Center, 2011; U.S. Department of Education, 2010
鈥淚t鈥檚 been clear all along that people were only signing on to it for the money,鈥� said Richard Stutman, the president of the Boston Teachers Union, an affiliate of the American Federation of Teachers. 鈥淣o one has signed this because they thought it was a sound education concept. People have signed on because there鈥檚 a recession.鈥�
Mr. Stutman鈥檚 union did not sign on. But even those unions that did give their assent have reservations.
鈥淲e鈥檙e a cash-strapped city that doesn鈥檛 support public schools,鈥� said Timothy Collins, the head of the Springfield Education Association, a National Education Association affiliate, which represents teachers in the 25,000-student Springfield, Mass., school district. 鈥淲e need the resources.鈥�
What鈥檚 more, the document signed by teachers鈥� unions supporting the state鈥檚 application actually has several outs. It requires only a 鈥済ood-faith effort鈥� from all parties to implement the promises made in the application and promises that nothing in the application would override collective bargaining agreements. That means any changes will have to be negotiated district by district, in a state with historically strong unions.
The agreement also terminates when the grant money runs out in four years, meaning there is no guarantee of enduring change. (Other states, including Florida, also incorporated many outs for their participating districts.)
There are also signs of uncertainty among many of the districts that will have to help Massachusetts make good on its application promises, such as increasing the high school graduation rate. In recent weeks, 19 of them dropped out of the Race to the Top effort, mostly because they realized they would not be getting large grants under the formula used to divvy up the money.
Maryland, another Race to the Top winner that has also been deemed a national leader in education improvement efforts, made big promises in its application, too. And like Massachusetts, it is struggling with teacher-evaluation issues.
Last year, the Maryland legislature passed an education package that requires student assessments to be a 鈥渟ignificant factor鈥� in judging teachers and principals. The state school board took the law one step further, pledging in its Race to the Top application that it would adopt a regulation requiring that 50 percent of a teacher鈥檚 evaluation be based on student academic growth.
But that effort is languishing amid political and policy debates.
鈥淚 personally feel we are all working together, but we are working aimlessly,鈥� said Cheryl Bost, the president of the Teachers Association of Baltimore County, an affiliate of the National Education Association, who is working on the statewide committee trying to figure out how teachers should be evaluated. 鈥淭he task is daunting.鈥�
Indeed, Maryland teachers and state leaders are finding it harder than they imagined to decide how to evaluate teachers鈥攑articularly those who aren鈥檛 teaching the routinely tested subjects like 3rd grade reading.
In Anne Arundel County, which borders the Chesapeake Bay, the idea still sounds crazy to physical education specialists like Kathryn J. Davis, a well-regarded educator who was a finalist for teacher of the year in her county. The high school teacher can鈥檛 imagine how anyone could judge her, hypothetically speaking, based on how well students perform fitness tests such as sit-ups and timed running trials. 鈥淭his is perplexing,鈥� she said. 鈥淚 don鈥檛 really think someone can rank me or give me a raise based on my subject matter.鈥�
However, Maryland state schools Superintendent Nancy S. Grasmick said: 鈥淲e knew this was a point of controversy. This is really roll-up-your-sleeves hard work.鈥�
The problem, she said, is that teachers and others are largely afraid of something that is so new and still so ill-defined: 鈥淚 think it is fear of the unknown.鈥�
Bumps Ahead
The rocky outlook for changes in K-12 policy isn鈥檛 limited to the 12 Race to the Top winners.
In the run-up to the competition, 13 states, including first-round winners Delaware and Tennessee, changed their laws to create or allow more charter schools in their states, and all but seven states have agreed to enact common academic standards. Eleven states changed laws to tie teacher evaluations to student achievement.
Those moves and others designed to improve schools have turned out to be a costly gamble for many states that lost in the competition.
One such state is Connecticut, which has one of the largest achievement gaps in the country. It is on the hook for a $300 million reform agenda, which was adopted in a sweeping new state law.
Now, with the state facing a $3.5 billion deficit, school districts still reeling from painful budget cuts last summer will have to figure out how to pay for the online and Advanced Placement courses the law mandated. They will also have to track student data, devise new tests, and provide remedial help. And they must hire additional math, science, and language teachers and possibly build science labs to support a more rigorous high school curriculum.
鈥淭alk about unfunded mandates,鈥� said Elin Katz, a school board member in suburban West Hartford. 鈥淚 don鈥檛 know how we鈥檙e going to do this.鈥�
Meanwhile, the state is trying to figure out how it can accomplish the changes for less. Rather than bringing in consultants to train parents in how to become more engaged in schools, the state plans to post educational sessions on the Internet, said Tom Murphy, a spokesman for the Connecticut Department of Education. Rather than design new end-of-year tests for high school courses, the state may borrow tests from other states, he said.
鈥淲e are trying to find a way to establish these reforms without the benefit of having millions to do it,鈥� Mr. Murphy said.
Another state that lost out in the Race to the Top, cash-strapped Illinois, is turning to the private sector in hopes of raising $86 million over four years to undertake measures such as boosting science and technology education in high schools and crafting a model evaluation for teachers that includes student academic growth.
Illinois鈥� financial uncertainty makes the agenda a tough sell for private foundations that worry about the state鈥檚 ability to shoulder the cost over the long haul. Even so, state education officials say they have no intention of backing away from the plan they developed as part of the competition.
鈥淭hese were the right goals and ideals,鈥� Illinois state Superintendent Christopher Koch said during a November interview. Losing the Race to the Top was 鈥渁 bump in the road. 鈥� But we haven鈥檛 slowed down.鈥�
State officials and donors themselves credit the federal competition with spurring a dialogue about education change in Illinois. While the 409,000-student Chicago school system has long partnered with private foundations to bolster the arts, literacy, and other areas, the state education agency traditionally lacked those connections. The federal race changed that.
Robin Steans, the executive director of Advance Illinois, a bipartisan education policy group, said, 鈥淲e wouldn鈥檛 be having this conversation if it wasn鈥檛 for Race to the Top.鈥�
Turnaround Push
While the Race to the Top drew plenty of publicity, another pot of education stimulus money was almost as big鈥攁nd it was spread among all states: $3 billion in aimed at fixing the schools that persistently rank in the lowest-performing 5 percent in each state.
Though not a competition, the School Improvement Grants were awarded to districts that applied to their states for funding.
Few high schools in the nation are getting as much related financial help as the 700-student Roosevelt High in Portland, Ore., which was awarded nearly $12,000 in extra funding per student.
How will the school, which graduates fewer than 50 percent of its students, turn around? Roosevelt teachers say one key element is the all-out focus on improving teaching strategies, including robust training and in-class coaching from some of the strongest teachers in the school.
Teachers say that, until this year, they had gone years without a supervisor observing them in action. That left them free to plot their own course, set their own standards, and, at times, flail without support. 鈥淭o never have someone check in on what you鈥檙e doing was just not right,鈥� said math teacher Alison Strom.
Unlike most of the other stimulus funds, the School Improvement Grants came with significant strings. States and districts had to choose among four models prescribed by the federal government to deal with a school identified for such attention: closing the school and sending its students to higher-performing ones; replacing half of a school鈥檚 staff; restarting the school as a charter school; or using a 鈥渢ransformation鈥� model that includes a basket of strategies such as extending learning time.
367,524 jobs were reported saved during the 2009-10 school year
SOURCES: EPE Research Center, 2011
U.S. Department of Education
But in August by the Washington-based Center on Education Policy found districts largely unprepared to implement the models. One-third of the nation鈥檚 school districts said they weren鈥檛 familiar with the models, and only 12 percent had had any experience trying them out.
鈥淧rescribing four specific models is not wise,鈥� said Jack Jennings, the center鈥檚 president and chief executive officer and a former longtime Democratic congressional aide. 鈥淭here鈥檚 an awful lot of money that鈥檚 going to be spent very fast.鈥�
In Oklahoma, a mostly rural state, the biggest chunk of school improvement money is concentrated in six 鈥減ersistently low-performing鈥� schools in Tulsa. All of them have adopted the transformation model, but two are doing something that hasn鈥檛 been tried in previous reform efforts there because of its price tag: extended learning time.
鈥淚f kids are behind, they need more time on task. But with the financial difficulties we have been dealing with, we couldn鈥檛 have done this without [this money],鈥� Tulsa Superintendent Keith Ballard said.
In the district鈥檚 330-student Gilcrease Middle School, the grant is funding an extra 90 minutes for teachers and 70 minutes for students each day, plus salaries and benefits for five new employees. Two of them are 鈥減ride promoters,鈥� who help ensure safety and order in the halls and provide extra support to teachers dealing with minor discipline issues.
Discipline problems got so out of hand at Gilcrease during the 2008-09 school year that the superintendent canceled classes there for three days in the middle of the year. Phyllis Lovett, who was introduced as Gilcrease鈥檚 new principal at the beginning of the 2009-10 school year, says the additional help from the 鈥減ride promoters鈥� is contributing to growing stability at the long-struggling school.
鈥淭he perception among parents is that this school isn鈥檛 safe,鈥� Ms. Lovett said. 鈥淭his school is safe now, but the reputation has preceded us.鈥�
District and school leaders readily admit that the precariousness of state revenue sources in Oklahoma makes the sustainability of expensive school improvement measures such as extended learning time questionable at best.
鈥淭he way I see it now is, at the worst, we [will have had] three years of extended learning time for those kids,鈥� said Mr. Ballard, the Tulsa superintendent. 鈥淎t the best, the tough financial times will be over, and we will find a way to continue it.鈥�
Common Use
Teacher professional development is a common use of School Improvement Grants, and of all the stimulus funding. Yet much of that spending has been overshadowed by the more splashy components of the Race to the Top.
鈥淚t worries me very much that they spent their own money and federal money on professional development when I think most districts do very poor professional development,鈥� said Tim Daly, the executive director of the New Teacher Project, a national teacher-training organization based in New York City.
In Texas, most districts that used the federal money for professional development focused on supporting current programs or training teachers to use new technology or instructional materials purchased with other stimulus funds.
Districts there shied away from investing in major new professional-development programs for several reasons, said Sandy Maddox, the associate director of a Texas Education Agency regional-service center that provides staff development to school districts. First, districts were concerned about starting programs they would have to find funding for later. Second, the money came quickly and 鈥渘eeded to be spent,鈥� she said.
One exception is Garland, Texas, a large suburb of Dallas. That district is using $150,000 in stimulus aid to try to change education across the district by providing several training sessions over two years to help all employees鈥攆rom bus drivers to administrators鈥攂etter deal with students. 鈥淐hange in the classroom? We hope so,鈥� said Assistant Superintendent Phyllis Parker.
A lot of the stimulus money must be spent by Sept. 30, although awards such as the Race to the Top and School Improvement Grants have longer shelf lives.
Shelf Life
With aid running out, states must now figure out how to keep paying for the education jobs the federal money has supported, even as their own economies struggle. Helping, at least temporarily, is an additional $10 billion Congress approved in August for educator jobs as part of a state aid package called the Education Jobs and Medicaid Assistance Act.
Even so, this budget year, 13 states are making a combined $1 billion in unexpected, midyear cuts to K-12 education, according to a by the National Association of State Budget Officers and the National Governors Association.
The situation isn鈥檛 likely get better next budget year, when nearly half the states are expecting overall budget gaps. And 17 states are predicting they鈥檒l still have shortfalls in fiscal 2013.
Michael Griffith, a fiscal analyst with the Denver-based Education Commission of the States, said it will take up to three years before states fully recover from the recession, which officially began in December 2007 and ended in June 2009. 鈥淓ven with stimulus money, districts had to make pretty large cuts,鈥� he said. 鈥淭he money prevented them from cutting muscle and bone.鈥�
The money also came with an important catch: It was for one time only, and the federal Education Department warned states and districts to beware of a funding cliff once the money ran out. With that in mind, U.S. officials stressed that stimulus money should be spent wisely, on purposes and personnel that would not add to a district鈥檚 overall bottom line.
In Connecticut, last summer鈥檚 budget cuts resulted in bigger class sizes, teacher layoffs, and reductions in programs. While figuring out how to pay for the changes the legislature mandated to compete for a Race to the Top grant, local schools are also worried about what will happen this coming summer when the stimulus funds that have propped up their budgets are exhausted.
State Rep. Larry Cafero, the Republican leader in the Connecticut House, said: 鈥淚f I鈥檓 a superintendent of schools, I鈥檓 sweating right now.鈥�
