Despite attracting high-powered backers such as Bill Gates, the much-touted school improvement program known as First Things First has yet to muster conclusive scientific evidence to show that it prevents students from dropping out of school, a federal research review concludes.
The was one of two study reviews posted online Jan. 24 by the What Works Clearinghouse, which the U.S. Education Department set up to vet existing research evidence on the effectiveness of educational programs and practices.
Clearinghouse researchers gave , the second dropout-prevention program that was reviewed.
They found 鈥減otentially positive鈥� evidence showing that the now-defunct model improved high school completion rates for its target group of young welfare mothers.
The First Things First review drew criticism, though, from the program developers.
They contend that the federal reviewers set too high a bar for evidence and left out studies that gave the program high marks for improving student achievement, attendance, and graduation rates.
鈥淚 do not think it鈥檚 a fair and accurate representation of the evidence,鈥� said James P. Connell, the architect of the program and the founder of the Institute for Research and Reform, the Toms River, N.J.-based group that houses it.
First Things First is now used in 30 secondary schools in seven states鈥擟alifornia, Kansas, New Jersey, Mississippi, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin鈥攁nd more than two dozen elementary schools.
It is also on a short list of potentially successful high school redesign programs singled out by Microsoft Corp.鈥檚 chairman, Mr. Gates, as early as 2005.
The Seattle-based Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation has also spent millions of dollars helping schools implement First Things First.
Houston Evaluation
The high school-level program has three pillars: small learning academies that each keep students together from grades 9-12, a 鈥渇amily advocate鈥� system pairing teachers with small groups of students for four years, and an emphasis on improving instruction. (鈥溾�楩irst Things First鈥� Shows Promising Results,鈥� Mar. 9, 2005.)
Five studies have evaluated First Things First so far. In its analysis, though, the clearinghouse includes evidence from only one鈥攁n independent evaluation of three Houston high schools that implemented the program from 2001 to 2004.
The What Works Clearinghouse dropout-prevention reviews focus on secondary school and community-based interventions designed to help students stay in school and/or complete school. These can include incentives, counseling, monitoring, school restructuring, curriculum design, literacy support, or community-based services to mitigate factors impeding progress in school.
SOURCE: Institute of Education Sciences
For that study, researchers compared academic outcomes for the 9th graders who entered the schools those years with those of their predecessors three years earlier. The study did the same calculations for 10 or 11 nonprogram schools and compared the results.
Based on that evidence, the federal reviewers concluded that the program showed 鈥渘o discernible effects鈥� on keeping students in school.
One problem with that conclusion, Mr. Connell said, is that 鈥渋t鈥檚 limited to data from three schools in one city for one year鈥攂asically from freshman to sophomore year鈥攁nd that鈥檚 really not a reasonable period of time for summarizing evidence.鈥�
But Robert Wood, a senior economist at Mathematica Policy Research, the Princeton, N.J., group that runs the clearinghouse, said the review excluded evidence from the other four sites鈥擪ansas City, Kan.; Riverview Gardens, Mo.; and Shaw and Greenville, Miss.鈥攆or methodological reasons.
For instance, in Kansas City, where the program was carried out districtwide, evaluators failed to find well-matched comparison schools.
The Mississippi study focused on measuring different outcomes, he said, and the Missouri evaluation only included one First Things First high school and one comparison school.
鈥淵ou basically can鈥檛 separate the school from the program,鈥滿r.Wood added.
鈥楬ardest of Reforms鈥�
The New Chance evaluation, likewise, rested on one study鈥攁 10-state evaluation in which 2,000 women were chosen by lottery either to take part in the program or sit it out.
The participants took classes on parenting, life skills, and preparing for their high school equivalency exams.
When that phase ended, the women got assistance with job training and placement and access to child care.
The two new reports bring to 13 the number of dropout-prevention programs that the clearinghouse has evaluated so far.
Only two models鈥擭ew Chance and Talent Search, a federal program that provides college and career counseling to academically talented youths from disadvantaged families鈥攚ere deemed to have any evidence of success.
鈥淗igh school reform is among the hardest of reforms to undertake,鈥� noted Steven G. Seleznow, the program director for education at the Gates Foundation. Spurring change may be even harder for First Things First, he added, because the program works with existing school staff members rather than starting over with converted schools.
鈥淚n some places where we鈥檙e funding First Things First, we are seeing some evidence of success,鈥� he said, 鈥渁nd in some places, we are not seeing evidence of success as fast as we would like.鈥�
To get a better read on the program鈥檚 effectiveness, the foundation is supporting a comprehensive, independent evaluation of the program, not yet complete.
In addition, the federal Institute of Education Sciences this year launched a $6 million randomized study of First Things First that will involve 40 program sites around the country.
鈥淚 think I鈥檓 going to rely on the findings that will come from more thorough and focused research than a summary of other research projects,鈥� Mr. Seleznow said.
